Auto-generated by Gordon Lab from a real backtest — published as a draft for review, not live.
The question: We trained XGBoost on 25 coins to predict 15-minute direction out-of-sample on the P100. How many actually beat a coin-flip?
What the data said
'ARB' leads on auc: +0.532
- Range across 25 groups: +0.532 (best ARB) down to +0.458 — read the table for the full, unvarnished spread.
Full results
| group | metric |
|---|---|
| ARB | 0.5321 |
| BONK | 0.5225 |
| CRV | 0.519 |
| BTC | 0.5148 |
| HYPE | 0.514 |
| ETH | 0.5137 |
| LINK | 0.51 |
| XRP | 0.5094 |
| TRUMP | 0.5087 |
| SHIB | 0.5071 |
| UNI | 0.5066 |
| GRT | 0.5064 |
| PEPE | 0.5057 |
| AVAX | 0.5051 |
| DOGE | 0.5047 |
Generated by Gordon Lab from a real backtest. Method + caveats live in the harness; this is research, not advice — and the losing runs are shown too.