Auto-generated by Gordon Lab from a real backtest — published as a draft for review, not live.
The question: We swept XGBoost direction prediction across 15m/1h/4h/1d horizons on 25 coins, strictly out-of-sample. Does signal emerge as you zoom out, or is it coin-flips at every horizon?
What the data said
'15m' leads on mean_auc: +0.526
- Range across 3 groups: +0.526 (best 15m) down to +0.514 — read the table for the full, unvarnished spread.
Full results
| group | metric |
|---|---|
| 15m | 0.5262 |
| 4h | 0.5145 |
| 1h | 0.5143 |
Generated by Gordon Lab from a real backtest. Method + caveats live in the harness; this is research, not advice — and the losing runs are shown too.