general 2026-06-24

Are calm or wild coins easier for a model to predict?

'low-vol' leads on mean_auc: +0.509

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sniper 2026-06-24

I Funded a Solana Memecoin Sniper Bot. It Went 4 and 82.

I funded a Solana memecoin sniper with real SOL and let an XGBoost model pick every trade. 86 trades, 4 wins, 82 losses. The honest autopsy: execution was fine — there's just no edge at entry. Real numbers, including the one trade that actually worked.

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trading 2026-06-24

A 0.70-AUC Crypto Model That Lost Money on Every Coin (AUC Is Not P&L)

I trained per-coin XGBoost models on 5-minute crypto bars. They hit ~0.70 out-of-sample AUC across 16 coins, walk-forward validated — genuinely predictive. Then I traded the signal and every single config lost money. Why a 'good' ML model isn't a profitable one: AUC measures direction, not magnitude.

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general 2026-06-24

Should a crypto grid bot re-anchor upward with price?

'trail3' wins: total_pnl +5542 vs 'static' +1858 (+3684, +198%)

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general 2026-06-24

Which crypto coins can a simple ML model actually predict?

'ARB' leads on auc: +0.532

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general 2026-06-24

Does crypto direction get more predictable at longer horizons?

'15m' leads on mean_auc: +0.526

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general 2026-06-21

Build Notes: A Week of Local-First Smart-Home Research

A research-driven recap of last week — what we tested, what we learned, and the gotchas that changed our plans while designing a fully local, no-cloud smart home around Home Assistant.

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sniper 2026-06-18

The Solana Bug That Failed 74% of My Sniper's Buys (and Lied About Why)

If your Solana transactions fail with Token-2022 "Invalid Mint" (0x2) or "simulation failed" on brand-new accounts, it's probably your preflightCommitment. The RPC default (finalized) lags the tip ~13-30s, so it can't see a seconds-old mint. The smoking gun, the cause, and the one-line fix.

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general 2026-06-18

YouTube Shut Down Our Channel. We Adapt and Overcome.

YouTube removed our channel under its scams policy and denied our appeal. Here's our honest take — what we do, what we don't, and how we're adapting and moving forward.

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trading 2026-06-17

Front-Loading a Crypto Grid Bot: More Wins, Less Money

I tried to beat my bot's uniform 3% grid by front-loading the rungs to catch more dips. The aggressive versions hit an 81% win rate — and earned about a third less money. A backtest post-mortem on why win rate is a vanity metric for grid bots.

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trading 2026-06-13

Optimization: Scaling Your Bot Profitably

Scale from 1% to 5%+ position sizing, add multiple strategies, and optimize for consistent 6-10% monthly gains.

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trading 2026-06-13

Backtesting Crypto Grid Bots: The 3% Step That Worked (And What the Backtest Couldn't See)

I backtested grid bots before risking real money — a 3% grid step was profitable across every coin and period tested. Then live trading revealed the one thing the backtest underweighted: regime. Here's both halves, honestly.

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trading 2026-06-13

I Built a Solana Sniper Bot in Python — Here's the Real P&L (Losses Included)

A fully automated pump.fun sniper bot in Python, funded with real SOL and run live. The architecture, the bug that killed 74% of buys, and the honest result — including why a 0.78-AUC model still didn't make money.

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general 2026-06-10

Build Log — June 10, 2026

Today's trading bots saw mixed results, with the Alpaca Crypto Grid bot finishing roughly flat after a day of active trading. The Kraken Grid + Swing bot, on the other hand, sat out entirely and also ended up roughly fla

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general 2026-05-01

Introducing Gordon Tech: Building AI-Driven Systems

Introducing Gordon Tech: Where we build trading bots, price monitoring, AI coaching, and ML models.

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trading 2026-05-01

Getting Started with Trading Bots

In this guide, we explore how to build your first automated trading bot using Python...

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trading 2026-05-01

How to Build Trading Bots

In this guide, we'll cover the basics of algorithmic trading...

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